The hurricane season beginning this June 1st for the North Atlantic region and the Caribbean Sea should have a behavior close to normal with the development of 11 organisms, reported a Cuban meteorologist.
Of that number, six could reach the category of hurricane and the total of nine would be formed in the Atlantic, one in the Caribbean Sea and one in the Gulf of Mexico, the head of the Forecast Center of the Meteorological Institute of Cuba, Miriam Teresita Yanes, told Prensa Latina.
She pointed out that the forecast is based on the temperature of Atlantic waters during the first quarter of the year which remained close to normal values ​​and with a trend to decrease, an element that is not favorable for the formation and development of tropical cyclones.
This trend of behavior of the near-normal hurricane season is due to the influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event, together with the strengthening of the North Atlantic subtropical anticyclone and the trade winds, he said.
Yanes told Prensa Latina that the fundamental uncertainty of predictions for this period, which culminates on November 30, lies in the evolution of the ENSO event in the coming months.
However, she warned, both the population and civil defense authorities to be alert and prepared because the forecast of a season close to normal does not mean that a specific point or place is the target of a meteorological phenomenon, whatever it may be.
This year, the climatological events that are named (depends on their category) will be called Andrea, Humberto, Olga, Barry, Imelda, Pablo, Chantal, Jerry, Rebekah, Dorian, Karen, Sebastien, Erin, Lorenzo, Tanya, Fernand, Melissa, Van, Gabrielle, Nestor and Wendy.
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